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The Best Investment Writing Volume 5: Selected Writing from Prominent Investors and Authors

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

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The Impact of Trend Brakes on Trend Performance

The momentum literature has essentially ignored this issue, and little attention is paid to what we refer to as the achilles heel of trend investing. Tis relationship manifests not only across a diverse collection of assets from different asset classes, but also carries over to multi asset portfolios of trend following strategies. Although such a relationship might not seem surprising to at least to some extent, its economic impact can be substantial. For a multi aced trend following portfolio normalized to have a ten % annual volatility over the last 30 years, a one standard deviation increase was associated with nine point two percentage points in return.

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