Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours cover image

Three: Alexander Berger on improving global health and wellbeing in clear and direct ways

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours

CHAPTER

Is the Expected Value of Science and Policy Grants Evaluated?

It seems like our estimates of kind of te expected value exante of these projectss, is always going to be incredibly, incredibly uncertain. These are hard things to do that. They're done by program afters who want to make the grants. So i thin there's ot structural forces that make you more likely to overestimate costiness x anti. Until we don't do costeus estimate for every grant, we want to be able to do things for its sort of much more like cluster thinking rather than sequence thinking.

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