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Venture Capital “Orphans”: Exploring an Emerging Search Fund Investment Thesis

In The Trenches

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The Other Side of Irrational Exuberance

The thesis posits that prior to year end 2021, the VC ecosystem had enjoyed many years of irrational exuberance. 40% of venture back companies are now worth less than the value of the preferred shares in their capital structure. Average valuation multiples have also trended steadily downwards across all stages since 2018. The further along the funding curve you get, starting with seed and moving from Series A, B, C, and D, the greater the percentage of down rounds.

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