2min chapter

Catalyst with Shayle Kann cover image

Unpopular solar opinions, 2022 edition

Catalyst with Shayle Kann

CHAPTER

Polysilicon

It's not been an easy ride, but we are forecasting officially 251 gigawatts of build this year up from 182 last year. We think that there's enough polysilicon made this year to make over 300 gigawatts of modules. So the price shouldn't be staying as high as it is. The fact that the price is staying actually pretty firm,. even now in November, suggests to us that there probably is a black hole sucking up modules somewhere. And that might be China, it might be Europe, it may be inventory in Europe. It might be that more is being built than we think.

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