5min chapter

The Joe Walker Podcast cover image

Rationality And Its Opposite — Steven Pinker

The Joe Walker Podcast

CHAPTER

How Much Should I Believe in This Hypothesis?

The key insight of Bayesianism is that your degree of belief can be treated like a mathematical probability. The warrant of your belief by the evidence can be expressed as a conditional probability. What it basically says is how much should I believe in this hypothesis? On a scale of zero to one, say from zero to 100,. If you just multiply it by 100.

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