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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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Will the Fed Really Shape Expectations in 2019?

Jay Powell has a well-documented instance of being a big pivader in 2019, win in 2018. The thing is, if you don't carry out what you promised to do, you lose credibility and people won't really price that anymore. We're thinking the Fed, because in the recent years, they're always cutting whenever the stock market goes down,. So maybe there's some bias there as well.

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