The Limits of AI Advocacy in a Competitive Future

In this episode, I chat with David Duvenaud about two topics he's been thinking about: firstly, a paper he wrote about evaluating whether or not frontier models can sabotage human decision-making or monitoring of the same models; and secondly, the difficult situation humans find themselves in in a post-AGI future, even if AI is aligned with human intentions.

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Transcript: https://axrp.net/episode/2025/03/01/episode-38_8-david-duvenaud-sabotage-evaluations-post-agi-future.html

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The Alignment Workshop: https://www.alignment-workshop.com/

Topics we discuss, and timestamps:

01:42 - The difficulty of sabotage evaluations

05:23 - Types of sabotage evaluation

08:45 - The state of sabotage evaluations

12:26 - What happens after AGI?

Links:

Sabotage Evaluations for Frontier Models: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.21514

Gradual Disempowerment: https://gradual-disempowerment.ai/

Episode art by Hamish Doodles: hamishdoodles.com