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Dominic Cummings: Vote Leave, Brexit, COVID, and No. 10 with Boris — #28

Manifold

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Are You Really Really Interested in Winning Elections?

Large-scale polling efforts with Bayesian corrections, you know, might be the way to go in the future. One of the most interesting things about politics I think is that they're not actually even serious about winning elections. And what they're actually optimizing for almost always is very short-term horizons.

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