Episode 338: Age, Ability, and Incumbency
Words & Numbers
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The Probability of an Ineligible Being Reelected in the Senate
The probability of an incumbent being reelected in the Senate averages about 80% in the Senate. In the House, it's about 95%. If you're elected once, there's a 95% chance you're going to get elected again. The voters could easily vote for something other than what they're getting.
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