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#44 - Longtermism Revisited: What We Owe the Future

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Are You Having It Both Waysism?

Expected value reasoning allows him to talk about both sides of a debate. He's very worried about AGI super intelligence taking over the world and he's also worried about technological stagnation. This is not a contradiction because under the expected value calculus, these are all equally plausible scenarios. But he's not really on the line. He's not advocating a position which then can be falsified by another book. And so it's hard to grab onto because he's kind of just doing it all at once.

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