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EP48 Jessica Flack on Complex System Dynamics

The Jim Rutt Show

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Is There a Bayes Theorem?

There's some arguments and cognitive science that our reasoning is roughly Bayesian. If that were also true for Macaques, presumably if the fight ability differential was large, the number of conflicts necessary to emit a signal ought to be relatively small. And when the fighting ability is closer to being similar by Bayesian analysis, it will take more conflicts before you get a reliable signal. Is that what the data shows? Yeah, that basically is what the data show  and also the individuals who are very similar in fighting ability, they often don't signal at all and they sometimes avoid each other.

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