2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Trump's Classified Documents Case Could End

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

The Probability of a Hanged Jury in a Case Like This

A lot of Americans don't have super strong political views in the way that you might see them portrayed by party activists or lawmakers. I think almost anyone would come into this with, if not some sort of dedicated position, a sense of which side they might be on. Trump supporters may actually say like it does seem like the elements have been satisfied. And again, that's Manhattan jury back to the earlier point that may not be predictive of the substantive outcome in Florida but I think it's wrong.

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