5min chapter

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Eliezer Yudkowsky - Why AI Will Kill Us, Aligning LLMs, Nature of Intelligence, SciFi, & Rationality

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

The Importance of Probability Theory in Winning

The notion of rationality systematized winning is meant to stand in contrast to a long philosophical tradition of like notions of rationality that are not meant to be about the mathematical structure. In Ultimatum games specifically If you look up logical decision theory on orbital You will find a different analysis of the ultimatum game where the rational players do not predict predictably lose, as I would define rationality. And if you take this sort of like deep mathematical thesis that also Runs through all the little moments of everyday life when you may be tempted to think like well if I do the reasonable thing Won't I won't I lose that you're making the same mistake as the star trek script writer who had spock

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