Macro Musings with David Beckworth cover image

Alp Simsek on a Risk-Centric View of Demand, Recession, and Speculation

Macro Musings with David Beckworth

00:00

The Fed's Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification

The first thing the fed should do is of course cut the interest rates And then it to lower bound and when you when you hit the lower bound our model actually shows that when you don't do anything else these shocks can become a lot bigger. This leads to an even bigger increase in risk premium and even bigger Reduction risk prices and so onSo you can get into a very bad spiral kind of like what we saw in March where you get a huge dramatic essentially what happened in March.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app