After 15 years of siege, the economy has collapsed in gaza. The infra structure has collapsed. And this has become a problem that no one wants to fix. Israel and egypt are quite happy with the status quo. A pelestinian authority, which governs the west bank, wants nothing to do with gaza. So in the short term, the cease fire is likely to hold. But inevitably, as we've seen time and again for the past 15 years, it will not hold forever.

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