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Eric Basmajian: Cyclical Drivers and Trends of the US Economy

Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast

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The Predictions of a Recession

There's no one left that's actually calling for a recession so we're back to an out of consensus position which is a comfortable place to be the federal reserve even yesterday got rid of their recession forecast. I still very much expect a recession to be dated sometime in 23 whether it's the first half of the back half whereas too many indicators at this point in my view have crossed the line into never here before without recession in the proper sequence. Eric: Even in an environment where inflation is high unemployment is low it revealed that they panic and I think that the market is really capitalizing on on their fear.

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