The Brain Is the Best Information Processing Unit

Most forecasts are conditional on a certain kind of technology being the first to be the human level intelligence technology. I think there's a pretty substantial chance that this would be the first, at least ten% and maybe even over 50%. And then, given that scenario, i would bet on each of the predictions, but not on the conjunction. If if we were to down load warren buffet and nor mac donald, and then we tried to remove fear of death and a, you know, love of status or something, ee, they just wouldn't work as well. So that means, at least for a while, it's a whole brained or nothing.