The Challenges of Forecasting in Social Science

A full writeup of this episode, including references and a transcript, is available on our website: hearthisidea.com/episodes/pannu-monrad

Jassi Pannu is a Resident Physician at Stanford, a Visiting Scholar at John Hopkins, and a Fellow at the Emerging Leaders in Biosecurity Initiative.

Joshua Monrad is a Biosecurity Program Officer at Effective Giving and a Researcher at Oxford's Future Humanity Institute.

We discuss:

• The post-COVID biosecurity landscape, including the American Pandemic Preparedness Plan
• The Biological Weapons Convention and current issues in dual-use research
• The role of antivirals, increasing vaccine capacity, and market failures
• Similarities and differences between GCBR mitigation and general pandemic preparedness
• How some interventions are underpinned by global cooperation

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