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The White Corral and the Cutoffs
The people who just make it, you can look at the likelihood that they are going to go sub-13. The last 25 people who made it through all finished, either sub-13 or not at all. One of the guys I came across from Sweden, he was pretty far up at the first time cut and then way down at the second one. He probably mechanical or crashed or had some sort of bonk and recovered because he then slowly rose up through the ranks. It's going to take a pretty special rider to just make that cut off and buckle.