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The Problem With Managed Futures and Trendfallowing
Cam Harvey, the academic professor who did some of the earliest work on modeling the yield curve as a predictor of recession. Cam Harvey: The idea of synthesizing option-like payoffs without actually trading options is a really interesting area for exploration. As you look at managed futures and trendfallowing, is there any sense that the strategy itself could at this point be so well adopted? I don't think we have to eliminate any benefits from trendfalling but it's very clear that performance might be very different in post-2008 versus pre-2008.