5min chapter

Alpha Exchange cover image

Corey Hoffstein, CIO, Newfound Research

Alpha Exchange

CHAPTER

The Problem With Managed Futures and Trendfallowing

Cam Harvey, the academic professor who did some of the earliest work on modeling the yield curve as a predictor of recession. Cam Harvey: The idea of synthesizing option-like payoffs without actually trading options is a really interesting area for exploration. As you look at managed futures and trendfallowing, is there any sense that the strategy itself could at this point be so well adopted? I don't think we have to eliminate any benefits from trendfalling but it's very clear that performance might be very different in post-2008 versus pre-2008.

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