
Hari Krishnan - Market Tremors & Tail Hedging (S5E11)
Flirting with Models
The Fed's Model of Inflation
There are basically three factors to inflation, according to the fed's model. The first is trent inflation that is anchored by expectations. As they raise rates, th growth will slow, and inflation will also be tempered. And the final factor is things like oil prices. If you believe this character ation, it strongly mean reverting,. So if it doesn't rear its ugly head or in output gaps, then fed doesn't have to do anything.
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