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2min chapter
William MacAskill on Effective Altruism, Moral Progress, and Cultural Innovation
Conversations with Tyler
We Can't Predict Foreign Policy Two Years Out
If we can't predict foreign policy two years out, how well can we understand our own hinginess? Well, so here's a general argument for thinking that, at least plausibly, a very influential time. And i think this argument works. I don't think it means like wete out the mostn atime. That's like, a substantially harder argument to make. But it's just the level of technological progress is very high compared to history and also very high against what must happen in the future.
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