2min chapter

The Rational Reminder Podcast cover image

How to Select a (Good) Financial Advisor (EP.162)

The Rational Reminder Podcast

CHAPTER

Stock Returns Are Predictable

In real time, investors don't know what future valuations are going to be. Any notion ofof a higher low valuation in the historical data doesn't tell us much about whether current valuations are low or high relative to the future. If you look at only the information that would have been available to an investor at the time, and then try and find evidence of predictability, it goes away.

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