Navigating Polling Dynamics and Voter Sentiment

This chapter explores the critical role of self-identified party affiliation in polling accuracy, particularly among independent voters. It highlights the challenges of fluctuating public polls and the complexity of demographic factors influencing electoral predictions, with a focus on immigration and abortion rights as pivotal campaign issues. Additionally, the chapter delves into the historical voting patterns from 2020 and the implications for candidates as they strategize for upcoming elections.