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Kathy Jones on Inflation: ‘The Worst Is Behind Us’

The Long View

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Can the Fed Really Predict a Recession?

Consumer balance sheets are in aggregate and pretty good shape, but that takes into account the fact that a lot of it is at the upper end of the wealth strata. My concern is really that the Fed feels the need to keep going at a very aggressive pace even if they slow down their rate hikes. They really sound very determined to see the unemployment rate somewhat higher just to make sure that they've got inflation under control. And the greater risk they overdo it then underdo it.

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