385: AI Snake Oil
Tech Policy Podcast
The Uncertainty of AI Risk Predictions
This chapter examines the contentious debate surrounding the existential risks associated with artificial intelligence, focusing on the subjective nature of probability estimates from experts. It critiques the lack of empirical support for these estimates and highlights the complexities of predictive modeling in AI, drawing comparisons with advancements in weather forecasting. The speakers caution against reliance on these speculative figures for policymaking, as they may misguide significant decisions affecting society.
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