Analyzing Trade Ceasefires and Interest Rate Concerns

Progress on trade deals has returned investor optimism to the financial markets.The S&P has regained all of its April losses and is now green for the year.But the growing sense that “everything is going to be OK” ignores the elephant in the room, warns macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy: stubbornly high bond yields.The longer the US 10year Treasury stays near or above its current 4.5% yield, the more that over-leveraged companies are going to start stumbling.We discuss the implications should that happen. We also war-game out what it will mean for the economy & financial markets should the Trump Administration succeed in implementing its policy targets….as well as what it will look like if he fails.#recession #marketcorrection #tariffs