
Waiting for a Negative
Notes on the Week Ahead
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The Slow-Motion Sluggers Growth of the Commercial Real Estate Market
We could also see a repeat of the regional banking turmoil of the first quarter. However, it needs to be emphasized that this is a slow-motion slump. Equity stakeholders in these properties will take the first hit,. Other areas in commercial real estate such as multi-family housing, warehouses, and data centers are growing. Construction of offices, shops, malls, and restaurants all added together, only accounted for six-tenths of 1% of GDP in 2019. Sluggers growth seems certain. Recession does not.
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