Embracing Uncertainty: The Dangers of Overconfidence

This chapter explores the cognitive bias of overconfidence and its impact on decision-making, especially among experts, using examples from recent political events. The discussion emphasizes the importance of epistemic humility and the limitations of scientific knowledge, advocating for a skeptical approach to complex issues. Additionally, it highlights the inherent uncertainty in life and how embracing this unpredictability can lead to a more fulfilling and adventurous existence.