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#042 Black Swans, The End of Jobs, and Long Volatility with Taylor Pearson of Mutiny Fund

Smart Friends

How to Invest in Early Stage Tech Companies

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David: I started an early stage investment fund called rolling fun this year with two of my most talented and trusted friends. We've been angel investing for years, and together managed to invest in a few billion dollar companies. You can learn more at rolling dot fun, which is linked in the show notes below. If you enjoy this episode thinking about the future prospects of businesses, how to value these things, how to allocate your capital, you may enjoy learning about that. And got potes episodes with beau and ow where you can learn more about rolling fun.

Topics:

(6:21) - What is your specific knowledge?

(7:20) - Taylor’s career

(12:38) - Transaction Cost Economics

(20:02) - The work behind Taylor’s first book: The End of Jobs

(21:20) - Was publishing that book a major inflection point in your career?

(23:53) - Taylor’s writing on the crypto space and work in investing & finance

(29:03) - Mutiny Funds

(32:57) - The Long-Volatility Strategy

(36:33) - The Thousand-Year Portfolio

(40:49) - Who is using the long-volatility strategy and how are they using it?

(43:16) - What does the strategy look like day to day?

(50:07) - Volatility Index

(55:33) - Are there future products in the funnel for Mutiny?

(57:44) - What do you look for in the hedge funds you assemble?

(1:00:20) - How long have you been building this core of knowledge?

(1:04:11) - How do you know when to shift your focus?

(1:07:11) - Are there people you look up to who are great examples of playing the long game?

(1:09:25) - What is the long game for Mutiny?

(1:12:49) - How do you maintain discipline when the world tells you to take the other path?

(1:16:22) - What mental model do you use most often?

Links:

Taylor’s website

Taylor’s The Interesting Times newsletter

The End of Jobs by Taylor Pearson

Blog post: Markets Are Eating The World by Taylor Pearson

The Kelly Criterion with Edward Thorp

The Cockroach Portfolio

The Volatility Index

The Origin of Wealth by Eric Beinhocker

Fortune's Formula by William Poundstone

A Man for All Markets by Edward Thorp

To support this costs of producing this podcast:

>> Buy a copy of the Navalmanak: www.navalmanack.com/

>> Sign up for my online course and community about building your Personal Leverage: https://www.ejorgenson.com/leverage

>> Invest in early-stage companies alongside Eric and his partners at Rolling Fun: https://angel.co/v/back/rolling-fun

>> Join the free weekly email list at ejorgenson.com/newsletter

>> Text the podcast to a friend

>> Give the podcast a positive review to help us reach new listeners

>> Name-your-price subscription monthly, annual, or one-time: https://app.omella.com/o/9Bufa

>> Follow me on Twitter: @ericjorgenson

>> Get in touch about sponsoring this podcast by replying to an email or DMing me on Twitter.

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