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Coming up Trump: our election model puts Harris behind

The Intelligence from The Economist

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Electoral Dynamics: Predictions and Challenges

This chapter explores the complexities of electoral predictions through statistical models while addressing the limitations of data interpretation. It focuses on the changing probabilities in the U.S. presidential race, particularly the fluctuating chances of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as the election nears. Key insights into voter sentiment shifts and the impact of polling in competitive states are also discussed, underscoring the dynamic nature of electoral campaigns.

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