Ryan Holiday
The Dr. Drew Podcast
00:00
The Problem With Thinking Probabilistically
"I'm shocked that we're not doing deep analysis of what we got right and what we got wrong," he says. "You have to look at each decision and dispassionately analyze the probability that that was a good decision." He adds: "If it was a 20% probability of a positive outcome with 70% probability of adverse event, bad decision"
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