The Evolution of Prediction Markets

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With prediction markets, fundamentally you have markets that are zero sum markets where someone needs to lose and the question is who is losing. The promise was always, well, you have information and you kind of use this information and you make money, but you can only make money if someone else is losing. There are some answers to that and we saw in the last election that there was probably a decent amount of irrationality involved.

This week Anna and Tarun chat with Martin Köppelmann, CEO of Gnosis. The company was known for championing prediction markets, but Gnosis has now shifted to making key infrastructure products. Martin chats about this transition and explains Gnosis’s current products, which include a unique DEX called CowSwap and a number of products for managing DAO treasuries and governance.

Here are some links for this episode:

Gnosis & Full Node with Friederike Ernst, Zero Knowledge episode 94
SafeSnap introductory post
Gnosis Protocol V2 intro
Flashbots with Phil Daian and Stephane Gosselin, Zero Knowledge episode 168
Aping into DeFi and NFTs with Andy Chorlian and Tarun Chitra, Zero Knowledge episode 181

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