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Joe Carlsmith on How We Change Our Minds About AI Risk

Future of Life Institute Podcast

CHAPTER

The Importance of Priors in AI Risk

Sally Kohn: If your prior belief is extremely low credence in any sci-fi scenario, then you can see how it would be difficult to ever come to believe in AI risk. She says some people are more open to sci-fi scenarios becoming real and some people are less open to that. "I think there is an important sort of prior at work here," she said. 'There's a question of the starting point for beliefs'

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