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Scarcity vs. Abundance, and the Curation Unlock | Firestone's Law of Forecasting

This Week in Intelligent Investing

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Taking Bets That Are Positive Expected Value

In the context of a portfolio, those kinds of bets can make sense. People tend to overestimate their own ability to to peg those probabilities. But if they are the way they are, in the investor's favor, a small allocation might actually make sense. And i feel, you know, you also reminded me of the hemmingway quote, how did you go bankrupt? Two ways, gradually, then suddenly.

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