The chapter delves into recent polling data from Maryland showing Larry Hogan leading the Senate race, sparking discussions on the state's political landscape and voter perceptions. It explores the complexities of polling in capturing political sentiments, particularly in the context of predicting election outcomes and understanding voter decision-making. The hosts analyze Hogan's popularity across party lines, questioning the impact of partisanship in shaping election dynamics and outcomes.
Is the presidential election undergoing a vibe shift? At the beginning of the month, former President Donald Trump was performing 10 percentage points better than President Joe Biden in net approval rating. Today that’s fallen to a 4-point advantage. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew assesses what's changed. They also ask why so many representatives in the House are resigning earlier on in their careers and they take a look at a new poll showing Republican Larry Hogan leading in the Maryland Senate race by double digits.
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