The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing cover image

The Best Investment Writing Volume 5: Selected Writing from Prominent Investors and Authors

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

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How to Automatically Change the Speed of a Time Series Momentum Signal

Time series momentum strategies can successfully exploit trends in asset prices. But trend will occasionally break down and reverse direction, that is, at corrections and rebounds. Trend following tends to place bad bets because trailing returns can reflect an older, inactive trend direction. We develop a method to dynamically change the speed of the signal based upon current information. This strategy out performs traditional methods in our tests on historical data.

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