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Are Gold and Bitcoin Signaling the Return of Money Printing? | Michael Howell

Hidden Forces

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Analyzing the Impact of Yield Curve Dynamics on the Economy

The chapter delves into the influences behind the prolonged inversion of the yield curve, exploring term premiums, changes in the mortgage market, and the spread between agency mortgages and Treasuries. It challenges traditional recession indicators associated with yield curve inversions and discusses the Federal Reserve's role in managing the curve, potential risks, and historical precedents of funding deficits through the banking system. The conversation also critiques the fixation on interest rates, the equilibrium interest rate concept, and the balance needed to prevent excessive debt incentives while supporting business productivity.

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