
2/1/23: NFL, Tennis, Apple, Eager
Wharton Moneyball
00:00
What's Your 95% Prediction Interval?
Jogavitch is healthy right now, and number one player in the world. He's also about a year younger than Nadal. They're 35 and 36 respectively. What's your 95% prediction interval for how many majors he ends up with? Well, the lower interval is 22. If I had to do an upper, I mean, upper is a funny one because upper is gonna get, you got a long tail there. So that's why I go high.
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