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#48 – Spencer Weart on the Discovery of Global Warming

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How to Increase Your Confidence Using Computer Models

Normally you would expect that as you do more research, your confident interval shrink just because you are presumably better informed. But wat its sounds like is actually the opposite and so your confidence interval increases. The latest computer models have a higher range of consistn of a uncertainty,. especially at the opera level. They mightthat some of the computer models get you a warming with doublin carbon dioxide, which i repeat is in this century, of like six degreesich would bea total catastrophe. Dso at this point, the paleo climatologists come to the rescue, and they say, that can't happen. Youw it ist just doesn't happen that way.

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