Astral Codex Ten Podcast cover image

From Nostradamus To Fukuyama

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Nostradamus to Fukuyama - The End of History

I think of Fukuyama as a sort of anti-Nostradamus. Nostradamus said some meaningless vapid stuff in a way such that everyone insists on interpreting him as being a fool. Every time something new happens, it always proves Fukuyama wrong. It's hard to imagine what series of events could ever debunk the former or vindicate the latter. Nasm-Talib has it really good. He tried to warn us that weird things sometimes happen. Gary Marcus is doomed. But suppose he's right and I'm wrong. Suppose that of 50 possible crazy huge advances that people are predicting in the next 10 years, only one materializes. That should be a victory

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