Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong
Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova
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Analysis of Presidential Election Stability and Challenges for Biden
The chapter examines the stability of polling numbers in the presidential election, focusing on Biden's performance with different voter groups and the challenges he faces in key swing states. It emphasizes the importance of using a structured model in election analysis to avoid biases and emotional influences, discussing potential shifts among traditionally Democratic voters and the impact of voter turnout and enthusiasm on the election.
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