98 - The Geopolitics of Estonia
The Red Line
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The New Russian Strength in NATO's Borders
Two years ago, many Eastern European analysts lived at the defense of the Baltics through a completely different lens. Many will risk averse analysts simply assume that if the Baltics were invaded, we would let them fall to the Russians and come back and liberate them later. That was two years ago, and Russia is now significantly weaker. NATO is far more unified, and we have Finland and likely soon to be Sweden entering NATO. But how will these new changes in Russian strength in NATO's borders impact the defensibility of the Baltic states? Are we still likely to contemplate abandoning the Baltics until later? Or will the entry of Sweden Finland completely re-write out playbook on Baltic defence?
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