If anything is going to happen as a result of the kind of work that is being done, it's going to be done in organizations. And i am relatively to my own usual pessimism, iam, relatively optimistic that organizations can improve themselves. Yes, i just had jonathan roush on the b podcast. He has got a book o called the constitution of knowledge, a defence of truth. In which he argues that the system, the centuries long systems that have evolved to deal with the kinds of problems you're talking about are under attack by post modernists who say there are no real truths. The two, two assaults from both the far left and the far right seem
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.