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Michael Howell: Capital Wars, Liquidity & The Rise of China

Supply Shock

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The Fed and Liquidity Conditions

The fed is in this period of talking tough and being hawkish. What you can't do is to, as we've seen in the lasterno four or five months allow the stock market to revive again on hopes of falling interest rates. I would suggest that sometime in 20 23, there will be a turn in us. Monetary policy. It may not involve a significant drop in interest rates, but it may mean that the fed balance sheet begins to grow again. And i think central banks still have bigger role than they used to. But not now. Just wait a few months beyond that.

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