Making Sense with Sam Harris - Subscriber Content cover image

#320 - Constructing Self and World

Making Sense with Sam Harris - Subscriber Content

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The Probability of Seeing a Tree

So many people will have heard of Bayesian statistics or your basis theorem. It's actually a pretty simple piece of mathematics that it's worth looking up because it's unlike many equations. Once you track through the terms, it does repay one's intuitive sense of how things should be here. I mean, this is a mathematical description of how we revise our probability estimates based on evidence. And so when you look at this equation, I just pulled it up to remind myself of its actual structure.

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