Introduction

According to rasmason, republicans have an 11 point lead against a generic democrat on the congressional ballot with only 235 days left before the amidterms. If the election were held to day, 50 % of likely us would vote for the republican, while only 39 % would vote for Democrats. But i don't think it's predictive in sort of a straight line. You could have individual match ups that are more important than the generic feeling of things. So as long as people vote for their own incumbent, which they typically do, i don't know that it's going to make that much difference"