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Is Credit Too Tight On Low Defaults and Rate Cuts?: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

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Analyzing Credit Spreads, Yields, and Default Rates

This chapter provides a comprehensive analysis of historical credit spreads and yields in comparison to past financial crises, exploring the impact of quantitative easing, potential market corrections driven by inflation data, and differences between high yield and investment grade bonds in Europe and the US. The discussion delves into lower-than-expected defaults in Europe, forecasting stable default rates for the upcoming year, insights on credit default rates and future trends, and the influence of central bank easing cycles on market expectations, rate cuts, and supply dynamics.

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