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Do we have a Deal?

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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The Conference Board Measure of Consumer Confidence

CNN's John Sutter and CNN.com Opinion contributor Chris Cillizza take a look at what they think is the one thing that most crystallizes their views around the likelihood of a recession. "The single most important statistic is the conference board measure of consumer confidence," says economist Ben Navarrette. 'I have a fantastic team, but sometimes they can be wrong,' he adds about his co-hosts' Viewers: What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments below or tweet us @CNNOpinion.

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