AI and Forecasting: The Future of High School History Essays

The six years between 2016 and 2022 were good ones for AI, forecasting and cuttia. The science of forecasting only reached public attention after the publication of Philip Tetlock's super forecasting in late 2015. Cartier wanted to make her survey exactly like the 2016 version, so she included this and several other already achieved Milestones. It was a 2022 panel that flubbed predictions about things that had already happened.